Sunday, February 6, 2011

Wintry Week... Big Storm looking less likely!

Updated: 5:30 pm Sunday

***Continuing to Monitor the Possibility of a Winter Storm Affecting the Carolinas Wednesday Night and Thursday. Stay Tuned!***

The Models are now in unanimous agreement that snow will develop Wednesday night over the entire area. But it now appears less likely that the southern energy will phase with the northern disturbance developing a Major Winter Storm. Storm track #2 is now the favored solution which still brings light to moderate snow to the area. Lighter snows along and north of I-40 and moderate snows along the I-85 corridor. This storm is still 3 days out and the models have NOT had a good handle on this system. Once the storm begins to develop east of the Rockies the models will get a much better idea on what will happen. But as of right now I am favoring track # 2.

The Map below shows my idea of the Wednesday night storm:


Forecast:

Mountains-
Forecast remains unchanged. Tomorrow will be another nice and mild day before a front moves through ushering in some much colder temperatures. Snow will develop along and behind this front Monday night. The snow may come down heavy for a time monday night but accumulations appear to be elevation dependant and favoring the western slopes. The snow will end Tuesday morning. Tuesday looks cold and windy with highs in the lower 20s. Accumulations for 2-5" are expected on the west facing slopes and above 3500 feet with 1-2" below 3500 feet and east. Stay tuned for updates on Wednesday's and Thursday's Winter Storm.

Foothills-
Monday looks mild and dry for most of the day. A cold front will move through in the evening ushering in some much colder air and a few rain showers.  A developing low pressure along the coast could throw enough moisture back into the Foothills late Monday night to produce a period of wet snow or flurries around and just after midnight. No accumulations are expected. Tuesday looks much colder and breezy with highs only in the mid to upper 30s. Stay tuned for updates on Wednesday's and Thursday's Winter Storm.

Piedmont- Monday will be another nice day with highs in the mid-50s and plenty of sunshine. A cold front will move through Monday night bring a chance of rain showers and ushering in much colder air. As the front approaches the coast, a low pressure will being to develop along it. This low pressure could throw enough moisture back into the cold air to produce a period of wet snow or flurries around or just after midnight. No accumulations are expected. Tuesday looks very cold with a high around 40 along with a stiff NW breeze. Stay tuned for updates on Wednesday's and Thursday's Winter Storm.

Snow Accumulation Map for Monday Night:

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