A steady climb to much above normal temperatures by Friday. No significant precipitation expected for the next 7 days. (Maybe a few showers in the mountains Saturday morning but shouldn't be much)
Forecast:
Mountains-
After a chilly Tuesday, temperatures will begin to rebound on Wednesday. The rest of the week will be dominated by Sunshine, lighter winds, dry conditions and increasingly warm temperatures. Highs on Wednesday will be in the middle to upper 50s. Thursdays high could approach 60 and by Friday we should get most everyone in the low 60s. Now that is a forecast most of you will like to read! Nights will remain cold, especially in the valleys with temperatures dropping into the 20s and 30s. A somewhat dry front will pass through on Saturday but only a few showers are expected. Next week looks like it could turn stormy with some much needed rain. Stay tuned!
Foothills and Piedmont-
Temperatures will climb into the low to mid 60s tomorrow with abundant sunshine. Thursday will see temperatures in the upper 60s in the Foothills to around 70 in the Piedmont. By Friday everyone should hit the 70 degree mark with some places in the Piedmont reaching into the low to mid 70s (Near record levels). Drought conditions will be worsening over the next 7 days with no significant precipitation in the future. A dry front will push through Saturday ushering in some cooler air but it may be the middle to end of next week before we see any rain. Stay tuned!
*** Recent satellite measurements are revealing that our current "strong" La Nina is beginning to weaken and some long range ensemble models are forecasting neutral conditions over the tropical pacific by summer. What does that mean for our weather? Well during a la nina, waters in the tropical pacific cool, causing a strong ridge of High Pressure (the Bermuda high) to wedge into the southeastern states sending the storm track north across the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes region. This leaves Western North Carolina mild and dry in the winter and Hot and Dry during the summer. If it had not been for that very negative North Atlantic Oscillation our winter would have been very different. This winter would have been much milder and snow less.
Anyways, by summer we should be near neutral as far as water temperatures in the tropical pacific ending our current dry period. We should see normal temperatures and normal precipitation over the summer. Non of the models are currently forecasting el nino to develop but we will have to keep an eye on that. ***
Here is a current image of the la nina conditions in the eastern tropical pacific. In november water temperatures were as much as -1.5 or 1.5 degrees (c) cooler than normal (not shown in Map). As of February 15 temperatures are between -1.0 and 1.0 (near the coast of South American). The waters are warming!
Both images are of February 15th showing the warming of the Pacific indicating the weakening of la nina.
No comments:
Post a Comment