Sunday, January 30, 2011

Pattern Change, but Winter Trying to Hang On!

6:45pm Update:

Forecast

Mountains-

Monday- will be much cooler with highs only in the upper 30s. Clouds will be increasing as a wedge will being to set-up and build down the east side of the Blue Ridge. Light rain and drizzle should develop by evening. Overnight temperatures will drop to near freezing in Boone and just below freezing along the Blue Ridge (Blowing Rock to Deep Gap) allowing for some light freezing rain and freezing drizzle. West of Boone it should remain all liquid.
Tuesday- watch for morning light freezing rain/freezing drizzle along the blue ridge. Everyone should warm above freezing between noon and early afternoon ending any icing that may occur. Temperatures will remain on the cool side with day time temperatures holding in the 30s. Over night a warm surge of air will move in. Temperatures should rise into the 40s maybe even 50s on the western slopes. Heavy rain will also move in overnight.
Wednesday- Heavy Rain will be falling through most of the morning with temps in the 40s (east) to 50s (west). By late afternoon a strong front will push through ending the heavy rain and causing temperatures to fall rapidly. Overnight temperatures will fall into the lower 20s and there is a chance for some snow flurries or a snow shower. No accumulation expected.

Foothills-

Monday- Skies will become cloudy with highs in the low to mid-40s. Light rain will develop in the evening hours. Overnight expect occasional showers and drizzle with temperatures just above freezing. ( We need to watch for the potential for some light freezing rain if temperatures fall a little more than expected) Northern Caldwell and Wilkes Counties, right along the Blue Ridge could see some light icing.
Tuesday- Light rain should end by noon, cloudy and cool conditions should continue most of the evening. Overnight temperatures will surge into the 50s, especially in the southern foothills and heavy rain with embedded thunderstorms are likely.
Wednesday- Expect heavy rain and a few thunderstorms in the morning followed by clearing skies in the evening. Temperatures will fall overnight into the 30s.

For more on rain totals, potential icing and thunderstorm threats look at the maps on the previous post.

***Another storm system is expected to develop in the western gulf on Friday. With much colder air in place this weekend, depending on the track of the storm, it could bring a period of snow or rain to the western Carolina's. Track A would depect a snowier solutions. Track B would take the storm out to see and keep most of the moisture to our south. Stay tuned! ***

Weekend Storm Map Tracks:


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