10:00pm
Unfortunately, Sandy lived up to her expectations delivering the worst hurricane hit to the mid-atlantic coast in a longtime and maybe ever. Nothing can describe some of the pictures I am seeing from coastal New Jersey and New York than just DEVASTATION. In fact a lot of the images sadly remind me of what I saw after Katrina. And for the mountains, our first significant snow of the year is behind us. Most areas in the high country broke October snowfall records.
The weather will turn quiet for the remainder of the week and through the weekend. Temperatures will remain on the chilly side of normal for early November. Although the still yet high sun angle will help to melt some of the snow.
By Sunday a storm system will begin to take shape again to our west as the Jet Stream once again begins to buckle. Right now we are getting two different scenarios:
1- The European (which did very well with Sandy) has a quick clipper type system that will bring some rain to the mountains and foothills, then heads out to sea never really developing a coast storm.
2- The GFS (which was slow to catch onto Sandy but still did well five days out) has the energy coming from Canada (clipper) and a piece of energy coming from the southwest phasing and bringing a storm up the coast. The storm would be nothing like the Super storm Sandy we just had but would likely bring interior snow to the Appalachians and rain/rough surf to the coast.
The north atlantic oscillation (NAO) remains very negative, which favors coastal storms, and the overall pattern next week looks very similar to this week so I am currently in favor of the GFS. Below is a map of what I think will happen next week:
It is entirely to early to determine whether we have snow in the mountains or rain, but temperatures will remain chilly. Stay tuned for updates on next weeks weather. -Kris
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